Snowmass
Cross Cutting Topic C
What
contributions will technology make to advancing science?
What
research areas will be pushing the frontiers of science?
What
constitutes concept exploration, engineering proof of principle
and
engineering performance extension for fusion energy systems?
Topic
Leaders:
Mark
Tillack and Dave Petti
1.
Introduction
Technology
research in the US Fusion Energy Sciences program serves two distinct roles,
both of which are central to the development of an attractive fusion energy
source. “Plasma enabling technologies” are needed to support the
creation and control of reactor grade plasmas, whereas “fusion energy
technologies” are needed to create a useful product that meets economic,
safety and environmental requirements. In both cases, innovation and
improvement are essential if the vision of an attractive fusion energy source
ever will come to fruition.
The
restructured fusion energy sciences program has adopted a strategy in which
exploration of alternate confinement schemes has been embraced as a means to
seek potentially more attractive concepts for fusion energy applications as
well as to increase our overall understanding of plasma confinement. Analogous
changes have been implemented in the fusion technology program, where new ideas
for both plasma enabling and fusion energy technologies have been encouraged.
In order to provide a framework for evaluating and comparing progress for
alternative technologies, and to establish guidelines for major programmatic
decisions, clearly-defined stages of development are needed.
Fortunately,
an applicable framework already has been articulated by the FESAC Panel on
Alternate Concepts [1] and the FESAC Panel on Criteria, Goals and Metrics [2].
The major stages of development include “concept exploration”,
“proof of principle”, “performance extension” and
finally “fusion energy development”. This document seeks to apply
and extend the FESAC methodology for specific relevance to advanced fusion
technology concept development.
Particular
attention is given here to basic engineering sciences which serve to underpin
innovative technology research as a central element of the restructured fusion
energy program. In the same way that improved fundamental understanding of
plasma physics is expected to help create more desirable characteristics of
burning plasmas, improved fundamental understanding of the relevant engineering
sciences is expected to help create a desirable end-product. A broad array of
engineering sciences is invoved in fusion technology, including chemistry,
solid state materials science, nuclear science, and fluid mechanics, to name
only a few. In this document, we attempt to enumerate several of the more
important disciplines and explain how advances can serve not only to accelerate
the development of an attractive fusion energy product, but also to push the
frontiers of basic engineering sciences.
2.
Development stages for fusion energy systems
“What
constitutes concept exploration, engineering proof of principle and engineering
performance extension for fusion energy systems?”
2.1
Background
In
order to demonstrate the scientific, technological and environmental
attractiveness of a technology concept for the utilization of fusion energy,
several stages of development are anticipated. Technology stages of
development can be defined in terms analogous to stages of development for
confinement concepts that previously have been articulated by FESAC [1,2],
including:
1)
Concept exploration,
2)
Proof-of-principle,
3)
Performance extension, and
4)
Fusion energy development.
Technology
research encompasses a wide range of components and issues; the interpretation
of “concept” here is broadened to include not only specific design
concepts, but also general design strategies or resolution of issues that span
a range of design concepts.
The
stages of development of a concept actually represent points on a continuous
scale. However, pragmatically, the boundaries between various stages usually
represent quantum changes in the cost of program, in the level of commitment to
that concept, and in the focus of the program. In each stage, the research
program contains experiments, theory & modeling, and design studies
elements, as well as supporting
plasma
physics that may be needed for a concept. The mix of these elements varies in
each stage. Table 1 summarizes the distinguishing characteristics of the first
three stages that are considered here.
Table
1.
Development
Stages and Distinguishing Characteristics
|
Development
Stage
|
Goals
of Research
|
Level
of Integration
|
|
Concept
(Idea)
Exploration
|
Studies
of underlying phenomena
|
Single
effects
|
|
Proof-of-Principle
|
Resolution
of Critical Issues
|
Multiple
effects
|
|
Performance
Extension
|
Establish
performance
limits
|
Partially
integrated systems
|
For
each development stage, we describe the technical and programmatic features and
key metrics for defining success and deciding on the readiness for a concept to
proceed to a given step. The decision to proceed from one stage to the next
should be based on the maturity of the concept in order to be reasonably
confident that: 1) the next stage of the program will be successful; and 2)
the anticipated benefits of the next stage of the research justifies the
increased level of effort. A complete set of metrics and criteria are
summarized in Appendix A.
2.2
Concept exploration
Concept
exploration programs are aimed at innovation and basic understanding of
relevant scientific and engineering phenomena. They consist of experiments
costing typically less than $1M/year and/or theory and modeling, and strive at
establishing: 1) the basic feasibility of a concept (
e.g.,
for a first wall/blanket system, these issues include establishing underlying
thermal hydraulic and thermomechanical characteristics, tritium breeding
potential, safety and environmental features, power conversion and power
density limits, and compatibility with plasma confinement concepts); and/or 2)
exploring certain phenomena of interest and benefit to multiple concepts.
Power plant scoping should be limited to demonstration of feasibility and
identification of potential advantages and disadvantages, since reliable
scaling information for extrapolation to fusion conditions might not be
available.
Many
independent experiments and modeling activities are preferred at this level and
can be attempted in parallel, each focusing on a small set of issues. High
risk, large payoff research is desirable and should be encouraged. Activities
should be of short duration (less than 3 years, requiring renewal after a 3
year period) in order to allow for a high turnover rate.
The
major benefits of these programs are in encouraging innovation and advancing
general and fusion engineering science.
2.3
Engineering proof of principle
The
proof-of-principle (PoP) stage is the lowest cost program aimed at developing
an integrated and broad understanding of the basic scientific and engineering
aspects of the concept which can be scaled with confidence to provide a basis
for evaluating the potential of the concept for fusion energy applications.
The basic prerequisite for embarking on an engineering PoP stage is that (1)
its scientific and engineering basis looks promising and that (2) it will lead
to an attractive energy utilization embodiment. As with the concept
exploration stage, the PoP stage is a combined effort involving experiments,
modeling and theory.
At
this stage, supporting power plant studies should be carried out to evaluate
the potential of the concept, including in-depth physics and engineering
analysis to identify key technology issues. PoP experiments are usually not in
a regime of fusion-relevant parameters in absolute terms, but are sufficient to
provide scaling relationships useful to develop a predictive capability for
evaluating the concept. Experimental facilities at the engineering PoP stage
usually can be expected to be in the range of $1M to $10M.
There
are a number of criteria that should be applied to the engineering PoP stage:
• Scientific
and engineering credibility and degree of engineering understanding
available
to launch the PoP program.
• Benefit
to advancement of general engineering science and technology.
• Opportunity
to address most key technology issues of concept.
• Represents
leading edge research in context of national and international
fusion
programs.
• An
attractive energy systems vision.
• Clearly
defined milestones and deliverables.
• Impact
on overall fusion program development cost and schedules.
• Other
opportunities for collaborative research and education of students.
The
construction, operation, and analysis of a Proof-of-Principle-class experiment
takes roughly five to ten years, which sets the lower bound on the duration of
a Proof-of-Principle program. Furthermore, substantial resources are necessary
to operate a Proof-of-Principle-class experiment. These programs, therefore,
should be national endeavors, drawing expertise from many institutions.
Sufficient resources should be committed both to the Proof-of-Principle-class
device as well as the supporting smaller experiments, theory and modeling, and
power-plant studies in order to ensure an acceptable return on the investment
of the talent as well as resources in such an activity.
It
is beneficial for the Proof-of-Principle program to include
Concept-Exploration-class experiments which focus on resolving certain key
issues of the concept and help promote further innovations. Theory, modeling,
and benchmarking with experiments should be vigorously pursued in order to
provide a theoretical basis for scaling phenomena and evaluating the potential
of the concept. Power-plant studies, including in-depth physics and
engineering analysis, should be carried out to identify key physics and
technological issues and help define the research program. Any technological
issue specific to the concept should also be addressed during the
Proof-of-Principle stage.
The
major benefits at this stage are advancement of fusion energy science with some
contribution to fusion energy development and power plants.
2.4
Engineering performance extension
Performance
extension programs explore the engineering behavior of the concept at or near
the fusion-relevant regime in absolute parameters, albeit without a burning
plasma.
This
stage aims at generating sufficient confidence so that absolute parameters
needed for a fusion development device can be achieved and a fusion development
program with a reasonable cost can be attempted. At this stage, the predictive
capability and scaling information is refined further, new phenomena in
fusion-relevant regimes are examined, and the performance of the concept is
optimized. Because of the demand on absolute performance, a large single
device ($5-10M per year) may be needed and equipped with a variety of auxiliary
systems for control and operational flexibility as well as extensive
diagnostics providing complete coverage in space and time. This program should
contain Concept-Exploration-class and possibly Proof-of-Principle-class
experiments to help in optimization of the concept. Extensive theory and
modeling activities should exist to analyze the experimental results on all
issues and start providing a predictive capability for the concept. Both
power-plant and design studies, including in-depth physics and engineering
analyses, should be carried out to focus on critical issues, help in optimizing
the physics regimes, and evaluate the potential of the concept for fusion
development and power plants.
Key
questions for this stage include the importance of neutrons and the need for
coupling to a plasma confinement device.
As
with the Proof-of-Principle program, this must be a national endeavor, which
should include expertise from many institutions and sufficient resources
allocated for supporting activities. The major benefits at this stage are
contributions to fusion energy development and power plants, and advancement of
fusion energy science and technology.
3.
Science contributions
What
contributions will technology make to advancing science? What research areas
will be pushing the frontiers of science?
In
the same way that improved fundamental understanding of plasma physics is
expected to help create more desirable characteristics of burning plasmas,
improved fundamental understanding of the engineering sciences is expected to
help create a more desirable end-product. The advancement of engineering
science is an appropriate element of the restructured fusion energy sciences
program, and is especially relevant in the concept exploration stage of
research described above. Here we attempt to enumerate several of the more
important disciplines and explain how advances can serve not only to accelerate
the development of an attractive fusion energy product, but also to push the
frontiers of basic engineering sciences.
Because
the fusion technology program contains science, engineering science and applied
engineering facets, we begin by defining what we mean by the advancement of
science for fusion. Contributions that the technology program can make to
advancing science include:
(1) Experiments,
theory and/or modeling that improve the fundamental understanding of the
underlying phenomena and/or processes needed to make fusion a viable energy
source, and which may contribute to other broad fields of science and applied
engineering.
(2) Applied
engineering problems that represent calculational challenges and whose solution
may have applicability to other fields of science and engineering.
Appendix
B provides a template recommended for the Snowmass Summer Study to be used for
describing engineering science opportunities within the Fusion Technology
Program. It is meant to help articulate the essential elements of scientific
investigation that push the frontiers of knowledge.
An
example of research that does
not
fit into this definition is property or database measurements (
e.g.,
vapor pressure, thermal conductivity, heat transfer coefficient, sputtering
coefficient.). If such a measurement is used to help understand fundamental
phenomena (
e.g.,
to validate a theory) or is part of an overall modeling effort, then it may be
part of a more integrated overall science contribution even though it does not
itself define the scientific endeavor. Other examples of useful research which
are
not
considered in this category are spin-offs and industrial applications of fusion
research.
Below
are a select few of the activities in the technology program that fit this
definition. We welcome more input in other areas as appropriate, and will be
adding them both prior to an during the Snowmass Summer Study.
3.1
Materials Science
There
are numerous examples where fusion materials science research has had a
positive impact on the broader engineering/materials science fields. For
example, a bainitic (Fe-3Cr-W-Ta) steel with superior toughness and strength to
existing steels was developed by fusion researchers which have potential
applications in numerous commercial systems (
e.g.,
fossil energy.). In the area of composite materials, fusion materials research
has led to improved oxidation resistant interphases in SiC/SiC composites.
Fundamental research on ceramics by fusion researchers has led to the first
known experimental measurements of point defect (interstitial) migration
energies in SiC, alumina and spinel.
Experimental
and theoretical analysis of neutron-irradiated metals is providing an improved
understanding of the fundamentals of mechanical deformation, which has a
far-reaching impact on numerous engineering disciplines. For example, it
appears possible to obtain the constitutive equations for twinning (which is
one of the 6 possible deformation mechanisms in solids) from an analysis of
neutron-irradiated metals. Most of the present-day understanding of fracture
mechanics (essential for all advanced engineering structural applications) is
derived from early studies on neutron irradiated metals. Further analysis of
on-going fusion materials experiments with neutron-irradiated materials can
provide fundamental understanding related to the physical mechanisms of flow
and fracture of deformed metals. Significant advances in the science of
mechanical deformation of refractory metals are being provided by fusion
research on vanadium alloys and other refractory metals.
3.2
Surface Science and Atomic Physics
Better
understanding of the complex interactions between plasma physics, surface
science, solid state physics and fluid mechanics that occur at the
plasma-to-material interface has lead to improved control of edge density and
impurity influx and thus confinement device performance in the last fifteen
years. This understanding has been achieved through a combination of laboratory
experiments, experiments and measurements on confinement devices, and first
principles modeling of the observed phenomena and is the scientific basis that
underpins our ability to “engineer” the plasma edge in fusion
devices.
The
scientific basis needed to engineer the edge requires understanding the
underlying chemistry, solid state physics, and fluid mechanics that controls
the transport behavior of plasma particles back to the plasma, in the edge
itself and in plasma facing materials. Fusion experimental studies in the
laboratory and on existing fusion devices and theoretical analysis on impurity
transport in the plasma contribute to the fields of plasma physics and atomic
physics by providing fundamental data to describe transport in the edge at
fusion relevant temperatures and densities. Extensive surface science
experiments are being conducted to understand the mechanisms controlling the
release of particles from surfaces, such as sputtering and evaporation chemical
erosion as a function of ion energy, angle of incidence and level of impurities
for both liquid and solid materials. Surface science measurement of uptake and
subsequent behavior of deuterium in plasma facing components contributes to the
field of mass transport in solid materials. Fusion measurements add to the
database on the diffusivity and solubility of hydrogen in solid materials and
the influence of radiation damage on the overall permeability of the material.
3.3
Liquid Metal MHD
Liquid
metal MHD is a large and growing scientific discipline with applications in a
diverse set of fields including metals processing, geophysics (
e.g.,
geodynamo studies), boundary layer control and turbulence studies. Fusion
researchers developed the first general 3D numerical method for the solution of
the inviscid core flow equations (including vorticity generation and decay) and
provided some of the most detailed data on MHD fluctuations at high field
strength (well beyond the transition to bulk laminar flow). The latest efforts
are providing improved understanding of MHD flows and turbulence at free
surfaces.
For
example, heat transfer at the free surface of a non-conducting liquid wall is
dominated by phenomena of rapid surface renewal by turbulent eddy structures
generated either near the free surface due to temperature gradient driven
viscosity variations, or near the back wall or nozzle surfaces by frictional
shear stresses. The intensity of these turbulent structures and their
effectiveness in cycling energy from the free surface into the bulk flow of the
liquid wall depends heavily on the velocity of the main flow, the stability of
the free surface, the distance from back wall and nozzle surfaces, the degree
of damping by the magnetic field and even the magnitude and distribution of the
surface heat flux itself. This is a challenging interdisciplinary scientific
problem, with relevance to fields such as oceanography, meteorology, metallurgy
and other high heat flux applications like rocket engines.
The
picture is different for a liquid metal, which may be fully laminarized by the
magnetic field, but is still likely to be highly wavy or possess
two-dimensional turbulence-like structures with vorticity oriented along the
field lines. Surface waves and 2D turbulence increase the area for heat
transfer and have motion that helps to convect heat into the bulk flow.
Understanding the relative importance of these terms to the dominant conduction
and radiation transport effects, and judging the effectiveness of using
turbulence promoters such as coarse screens, is required to assess the
feasibility of liquid metal walls from the heat transfer point of view. The
complicated hydrodynamics is now heavily coupled to the applied magnetic fields
and the motion of the plasma through Ohm’s law and Maxwell’s
Equations. The solution to these systems is of similar complexity to the MHD
fluid motions in the plasma.
3.4
High Temperature Chemical Reactions and Vaporization
The
mobilization of induced activation in fusion materials under air and steam
ingress conditions is an important safety issue in all fusion designs.
Chemical reactions between fusion materials and air or steam change the
chemical form of the structure and in the case of steam can lead to the
production of combustible quantities of hydrogen. In addition, the presence of
air or steam changes the oxygen potential of the system resulting in
vaporization of radioactivity from the structure. Experiments and extensive
materials characterization are performed to measure the chemical reactivity of
fusion materials and the concurrent vaporization. Basic thermodynamic
information on the reactions of interest and gas phase and solid state mass
transport modeling is used to understand the results of experiments. The data
and associated modeling contributes to fundamental understanding on the
behavior of fusion materials in high temperature air or steam environments and
adds to the database on chemical thermodynamic behavior of materials that has
applicability for high temperature and chemical processes in the aerospace,
defense, chemical, nuclear and environmental remediation industries.
3.5
Aerosol Science
Plasma-wall
interactions in magnetic fusion (
e.g.,
erosion, disruptions) and target implosion in inertial fusion result in the
production of particulate. The presence of particulate could impact operation
of the facility. Particulate deposited on mirrors and diagnostics could impair
these systems. In addition, the particulate has important safety implications;
it could be radioactive, toxic and chemically reactive. Thus, characterization
of the particulate in fusion systems is needed to better understand the safety
hazard and operational limits that such material could impose on the system.
Particulate production is a broad area of aerosol science that has important
industrial applications including for example cloud formation, pollution
control, precipitation technologies, and production of nanophase material.
State of the art aerosol characterization technologies are used to measure the
quantity, size and chemical form of the particulate in both magnetic and
inertial fusion facilities. In addition, theoretical modeling of the plasma
and the relevant vapor condensation, nucleation and growth phenomena are used
to understand the basic mechanisms responsible for particulate production in
magnetic and inertial fusion systems. This work is expected to add
significantly to the understanding of aerosol nucleation phenomena and the
transition from plasma to supersaturated gas to particulate.
References
[1] Report
of the FESAC Scicom Alternate Concepts Panel, July 1996.
(http://aries.ucsd.edu/SCICOM/AC-PANEL)
[2] FESAC
Panel on Criteria, Goals and Metrics (in preparation).
Appendix
A
Program
Evaluation Criteria
1.
Quality of Science
.
Is the proposed research program of very high quality; does it have scientific
and technical credibility; is it based on an understanding appropriate for its
stage of the program?
2.
Confidence for Next Step
.
Will the proposed program provide reasonable expectation for a knowledge base
to proceed to the next stage?
3.
Engineering Science/Technology Benefit
.
What is the benefit to advancement in general engineering science issues?
4.
Issue Resolution
.
Does the research resolve key issues and provide the basis for a decision to
advance to the next stage, to re-direct within a stage, or to terminate the
concept?
5.
Leading Edge
.
Is
the research at the leading edge in the context of the national and
international fusion programs?
-
In which areas would the proposed research contribute at the leading edge?
-
In which areas would the proposed research be behind the leading edge?
-
What are the opportunities for leveraging broad knowledge bases?
6.
Energy Vision
.
What is the overall attractiveness of the energy vision for this concept?
-
Have the important outstanding issues been identified?
-
Can the issues be addressed in the context of the broader national and world
programs?
-
What is the proposed activity to contribute to this effort?
-
What is the potential for energy applications?
-
What is the definition and impact on development pathway: costs, schedule and
risks?
7.
Program Issues
.
The following program issues should be considered:
-
What are the construction and operating costs and their basis?
-
Are there adequate resources to accomplish proposed program goals?
-
Are there opportunities to be a national research facility?
-
Are there opportunities to leverage existing facilities?
8.
Portfolio Balance
.
Does the proposed program maintain a balanced portfolio of research
opportunities?
9.
Science/Technology Goals
.
How does the proposed program contribute to broad based national science and
technology goals and educational opportunities?
10.
Milestones
.
What are the key milestones to accomplish the proposed program?
Appendix
B:
Format for describing engineering science opportunities in fusion technology
Engineering
Science Opportunity
Snowmass
Fusion Summer Study
July
1999
submitted
by:
1.
Topic name:
2.
In which branch(es) of science is this relevant?
3.
Is the research in this field primarily
(a)
a computational or modeling challenge,
(b)
basic or applied scientific exploration , or
(c)
both.
4.
What are the unknown phenomena that require scientific investigation?
5.
Characterize the frontier of science for this topic.
6.
Provide one or more citations from the scientific literature (preferably not
your own, and preferably not from a fusion journal) that represents the latest
advances in this field.
7.
In what way does the work push the frontier of knowledge? How is this
work
likely to impact the advancement of science outside of fusion?